Formula 1: Against The Odds

Massa Charge

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In the opening race of the 2006 Formula One season we witnessed a stunning drive from Kimi Raikonnen from 19th on the grid to claim a place on the Bahrain podium. Fast-forward 12 months and it is his teammate who will be looking to repeat the feat, as Massa starts from 16th position in today’s Australian Grand Prix.

The Brazilian has no reason to be fazed by this task. Two years ago – the last time that Melbourne hosted the season-opener – both Fernando Alonso and Rubens Barrichello (then driving a Ferrari) started from outside of the top ten to take their respective places on the podium.

Indeed Massa himself is no stranger to scything through F1 fields. Since his move to Ferrari he has started outside of the top ten on three occasions (21st, 21st and 22nd). On the first two occasions he improved his finishing position by 16 and 12 places respectively. In the third race – at China – a storming drive from last position had seen him run as high as fifth position before he ultimately retired from the race (whilst still running inside the top ten).

Yesterday’s qualifying showed that the McLaren and the BMWs are capable of running at a strong pace but there was little doubt that the Ferrari is still the fastest car on the grid. I expect Massa to be able to put this to good use.

Boylesports are currently offering the following bet at a standout price:

Australian GP To Finish On The Podium – Felipe Massa @ 4/1

The only concerns I have about taking this price are the unknown nature of the gearbox problems that Massa suffered during qualifying and the sheer number of cars that the Brazilian will have to pass cleanly to enable him to finish inside the top three. For that reason I will be covering my stake with the 11/5 available at Expekt that Massa will not be classified.

Good Luck.


Written by f1punter

March 17, 2007 at 3:19 pm

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