Formula 1: Against The Odds

Anyone but McLaren

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McLaren can currently be laid at 1.15 on Betfair to have the winning car in this afternoon’s race. Obviously they are rightly very strong favourites to do so, but is there any value in the near 7/1 price that you are getting about the other twenty runners?  Here are some factors to consider:

Montreal is not a track where it is imperative to be on pole. Eight out of the last twenty winners have started from the second row or worse.

Bearing in mind the above, have the Ferrari’s opted to carry more fuel in a bid to beat McLaren in the pits?

The Circuit Gilles-Villeneuve is an acknowledged car-breaker and McLaren haven’t managed to get both cars to the finish since 2004.

Ferrari topped the timesheets in both ‘Montreal configuration’ tests at Paul Ricard in May.

Three times in the last nine years we have seen incidents on the first lap that have required the Safety Car. As the race for supremacy inside the McLaren team warms up, could we see a coming together?

Historically Kimi Raikkonen has raced better than he has qualified round here.

Personally I wont be getting involved.  Like most I can only see a McLaren victory and in truth so far this season they are the team whose reliability you have worried about the least.  However I am sure that there will be worse outside bets this season.


Written by f1punter

June 10, 2007 at 2:13 pm

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