F1Punter

Formula 1: Against The Odds

Backing Massa in Turkey

with one comment

After highlighting a trend at the last race of the pole-sitter going on to take victory and then not taking advantage because of a prohibitively short price, I am reluctant to make the same mistake again.

With his predicted main rival Kimi Raikkonen starting from fourth place on the dirty side of the grid and the much-publicised two wins from two poles around here, Massa certainly looks well placed to take victory. BMW appear to be off the pace this weekend, so it looks like only a McLaren or a lack of reliability can deny him. Although Felipe does have a DNF to his name this season, the traditional reliability of the Ferrari means that this cannot play a significant part in our calculations – perhaps even more so with this rumour circulating!

It is also true that the two McLaren cars have looked a touch more competitive this season in qualifying trim than with their race setup. Hamilton has a net-loss of four places from his qualifying positions to his race finishing positions, whilst Kovalainen has only improved from his starting position in Malaysia.

Anybody looking to back Felipe Massa for race victory tomorrow should do so with BWin at 3/5 (1.60). This is a fair bit longer than he is available on the exchanges (which is rare) even before commission is taken into account. In the UK, Ladbrokes standout at 4/7 (1.57) whilst BlueSQ who were also 4/7 after Qualifiying have been forced to cut him into 8/15 (1.53).

Advertisements

Written by f1punter

May 10, 2008 at 6:12 pm

One Response

Subscribe to comments with RSS.

  1. […] backing the Brazilian to do the business last week and watching him set scorching times in all three qualifying sessions today, it could be justified […]


Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s

%d bloggers like this: