F1Punter

Formula 1: Against The Odds

Winner Takes All

with 2 comments

It is interesting to see how the market has reacted to the news that the driver with the most race wins at the end of the season will be crowned World Champion.

Unsurprisingly Kimi Raikkonen has firmed up as favourite. ‘When he is bad, he is very bad, but when he is good he is great’ is an adage that was made for the Finn. I imagine though that when he is out of contention he will take this rule to be the excuse that he needs to appear disinterested!

Somewhat more surprising is that Fernando Alonso has also been cut. Whether the bookmakers see that the Renault will be ultra-competitive at a number of tracks or perhaps more likely that Alonso’s ability will enable him to push right to the end of races, I’m not sure.

Elsewhere both of the Brawn GP drivers have also been cut, but I suspect that this is legacy momentum from the previous few days.

Kubica has been pushed out slightly and is probably being penalised for his consistent showings last term. More surprisingly Massa is also being opposed, as under this system last year he would have been victorious. The only other significant thing to note is that the chances of an outsider causing an upset are now priced up as even more remote.

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2 Responses

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  1. Probably a good move, but typical F1 to do it just days before the season starts. I’f I could hadnle having my money tied up for so long, I’d be laying Button until the cows come home in this format. One career win (in atrocious weather) and pushing for title favourite? You’ve got to be joking….

    Scott

    March 18, 2009 at 9:01 am

  2. I completely agree Scott. The rules change pretty much negated all of the positive things I was thinking about Jenson’s style and his ability to consistently gather points.

    f1punter

    March 18, 2009 at 9:04 pm


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