Formula 1: Against The Odds

Barcelona Hat Tricks

with 5 comments

No, not Henry or Messi for a change; I’m looking at the Win, Pole and Fastest Lap market. There is definitely something about the Circuit de Catalunya that allows one driver to dominate a weekend. Since 1997, one driver has claimed all three prizes on no less than seven occasions:

Hakkinen in 1998, Schumacher in 2001, 2002 and 2004, Alonso in 2006, Massa in 2007 and Raikkonen in 2008.

In that twelve-year run, only once has the driver on pole failed to go on and win the race!

Sky Bet are offering 9/1 and 14/1 about Button and Vettel respectively repeating the feat this year. For a different angle, Expekt will give you 19/20 that the Pole Sitter wins the race regardless of who it may be. Anyone worried about this year’s regulations can wait until the fuel weights are out on Saturday night. The best prices about a race win will be long gone, but there may be some value left in the Fastest Lap market.

Trying to spot a driver in control of the track during practice (always a risky strategy) at least has the potential to pay dividends this weekend.


5 Responses

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  1. It’s like the start of the season all over again heading into this weekend. With teams bringing along various additions to their cars and reckoning they’re going to make significant leaps, it’s difficult to know what’s actually going to happen.

    I reckon the RB5 will be strong in Barcelona as it does well through high-speed corners, so Vettel for a win each-way isn’t a bad bet?


    May 6, 2009 at 5:50 pm

  2. Agree with Dank that the RBR’s will be strong this weekend – hopefully F1Punter will add my piece on the race soon! 🙂

    The Brawns look much stronger over a race distance to me, than they do in Quali. Fuel corrected in Bahrain, I’m sure Vettel was several metres ahead of both BGP’s and well ahead of both Toyota’s, and I think both he and Webber can make a strong run at Pole on Saturday. Preference is for Webber at a generous-looking 14/1.


    May 6, 2009 at 6:14 pm

  3. In the first four races, only once has the pole sitter not won the race. So I think we pretty much have the same situation as every year. The pole sitter will really be a good contender for the win, if we don´t see the toyotas or maby Alosno qualifing on fumes. But the drivers that is going to fight for the 10 points is Vettel and Button and if one of them takes pole, they will at least take a double. Adding the fastest lap an only getting 9/1 on button is way to low for me, but I do like the idea.


    May 6, 2009 at 6:29 pm

  4. In agreement guys. Grasshopper, I’m on it.


    May 6, 2009 at 9:52 pm

  5. Jenson Button is one lucky dude. Not only a good driver but he’s dating the hot Japanese lingerie model Jessica Michibata. She’s so hawt! Nice exotic looks.


    May 14, 2009 at 9:45 am

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