Formula 1: Against The Odds

Archive for the ‘Canadian GP’ Category

Carnage in Canada

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ButtonIn the eleven races held at the Circuit Gilles-Villeneuve since I started keeping my records, there have been seventeen safety cars deployed. Only three of those races have seen no safety car at all. Statistically that is more often than any other circuit bar Melbourne, including Monaco.
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Written by f1punter

June 5, 2010 at 9:48 am

Canada: Thoughts On The Race

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Lewis Hamilton is odds-on for victory following his highly impressive qualifying performance at the Circuit Gilles Villeneuve. As I type, he is currently trading at around 1.64 – 1.65 on Betfair and at that price I feel that he has to be opposed. There is no doubt about his ability to wring a lap from his McLaren around here, but all of the press reaction subsequent to qualifying has been about his ‘dominance’ over the other drivers and I think that this, in part, is responsible for such an unattractively short price. Continue reading…

Classified in Canada

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At a tough track like the Circuit Gilles Villeneuve, it is always worth taking a look at markets based on drivers finishing, or not finishing the race. In the last ten years just 59.34% of the cars that lined up on the grid have been classified by the FIA at the finish of the race. Assuming that twenty cars line up on Sunday, we can roughly predict that on a historic-basis, twelve of them should be classified. Continue reading…

Written by f1punter

June 5, 2008 at 11:51 pm

Canadian Grand Prix Data Sheet

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pdf-icon.jpg This week’s data sheet for the Canadian Grand Prix… The statistics for the Safety Car and the number of retirements gives us an insight into what we can expect to see on Sunday, particularly with the potential for rain being forecast.

Title: Canadian Grand Prix Data Sheet | Format: PDF | Filesize: 84.4kb

Written by f1punter

June 5, 2008 at 11:22 pm

An Introduction To F1 Betting

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A guest post written on the excellent Forumula1.net.

One to Watch: Kazuki Nakajima

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Kazuki Nakajima has been quietly getting on with his job at Williams and in particular has been putting in some strong race performances. In the opening four races he has scored a points finish twice and has a net gain of race finishing position over starting grid position of a massive nineteen places! That is more than anyone else lining up at Istanbul this weekend. All of this got me to looking at Extrabet’s standout 9/1 price for him to record a top eight finish. Continue reading…

Written by f1punter

May 10, 2008 at 7:36 pm

Anyone but McLaren

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McLaren can currently be laid at 1.15 on Betfair to have the winning car in this afternoon’s race. Obviously they are rightly very strong favourites to do so, but is there any value in the near 7/1 price that you are getting about the other twenty runners?  Here are some factors to consider:

Montreal is not a track where it is imperative to be on pole. Eight out of the last twenty winners have started from the second row or worse.

Bearing in mind the above, have the Ferrari’s opted to carry more fuel in a bid to beat McLaren in the pits?

The Circuit Gilles-Villeneuve is an acknowledged car-breaker and McLaren haven’t managed to get both cars to the finish since 2004.

Ferrari topped the timesheets in both ‘Montreal configuration’ tests at Paul Ricard in May.

Three times in the last nine years we have seen incidents on the first lap that have required the Safety Car. As the race for supremacy inside the McLaren team warms up, could we see a coming together?

Historically Kimi Raikkonen has raced better than he has qualified round here.

Personally I wont be getting involved.  Like most I can only see a McLaren victory and in truth so far this season they are the team whose reliability you have worried about the least.  However I am sure that there will be worse outside bets this season.

Written by f1punter

June 10, 2007 at 2:13 pm