Formula 1: Against The Odds

Archive for the ‘Kubica’ Category

Renault Flying in Race Trim

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KubicaIf world championship points were awarded for the top-ten fastest laps of the race, rather than finishing positions, Robert Kubica would be fourth in the world championship. Prior to Monaco, he would have been just eighth. In the last three grand prix, Renault have set the second fastest lap of the race in Monaco and the fastest laps in both Turkey and Canada. The yellow car certainly flies in race trim. Continue reading…


Written by f1punter

June 27, 2010 at 11:22 am

Silverstone Sunday Summary

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I’ve been doing a bit of analysis on Qualifying runs and declared fuel – using La Canta Magnifico’s Fuel Fing – in an effort to forecast pit-stop schedules. Here’s the output: Continue reading…

2009 Not a Preview

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I’ve been trying to resist writing a preview or even looking at the markets for the forthcoming Formula One season for several reasons. Firstly my records would suggest that I am not a particularly good ante post punter. Continue reading…

Return of the Quick Nick

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In Grasshopper’s article yesterday he covered the problems that BMW seemed to be having extracting a competitive time from their machinery. Robert Kubica’s quote of “The car is nowhere – it is not working” summing this up perfectly in a Free Practice 1 which ended with Kubica and Heidfeld positioned eleventh and twelfth respectively. Continue reading…

Written by f1punter

September 6, 2008 at 11:24 am

Pointless Kubica?

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It was a somewhat peculiar session at Spa this morning, for me. Low ambient and track temperatures should have favoured the McLaren, but the Ferrari showed its historical strength at this circuit, with Massa and Raikkonen leading the way and the McLaren’s around 6/10ths off the pace. Market-wise, it’s all going to form then – insofar as the main culprits are concerned at least – and with only a 20% chance of rain predicted for Quali and none predicted for the race itself, I’m inclined to look elsewhere. Continue reading…

Written by f1punter

September 5, 2008 at 10:52 am

Free Practice at Spa

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Hot on the heels of Monza, focus switches to the Belgian Grand Prix at Spa-Francochamps, everyone’s favourite F1 track. Well it would do except for the small matter of the World Motor Sport Council meeting on Thursday to decide the fate of McLaren, Ferrari and the World Championships (possibly).  However I am not going to let that distract me and instead I will look away from the big two teams in the hunt for value.

One of the things that I am looking forward to this coming weekend is seeing how the drivers cope with the revised layouts at the Bus Stop chicane and the La Source hairpin.  These parts of the circuit have undergone significant modification, hopefully in a bid to increase overtaking opportunities.

It is these changes that are the catalyst for my first bet of the week.  I recall a conversation that I had with Costanza around the time of the Spa test in early July, during which he pointed out that Robert Kubica had done a lot of strong laps for BMW Sauber while Nick Heidfeld was missing for all three days with a bad back. This he said may give the Pole an advantage when the two drivers first hit the track in Free Practice 1. Indeed Kubica clocked up 188 laps of the revised layout, posting the second fastest time on two out of the three days.

I have kept this in the back of mind ever since, but it was these driver preview quotes from autosport.com that really interested me:

Nick Heidfeld: “I am happy Spa is back on the calendar. I didn’t attend the test in July so for me the last time I was there was in 2004 and those days I was in a car which wasn’t competitive at all. It will be different this time. Although Spa isn’t too far from my home town of Mönchengladbach, I didn’t race there very often. The circuit wasn’t on the Formula Ford and Formula 3 calendar when I was racing, and I had to miss the 2005 Formula One race after I injured myself in a bicycle accident.”

Robert Kubica: “It will be very nice to race in Spa in Formula One for the first time, although I have raced in Formula 3 and Formula Renault. We had quite a good test there, but the weather, as always in Spa, will probably be unpredictable, so we have to see how things develop.”

Now Nick Heidfeld is an experienced driver and come the sessions that count I have no doubt that he will be fully dialled in to the circuit. Regardless, there is plenty in those quotes to suggest that Kubica will be more familiar with its unique demands straight out of the box.

It is important to remember that Sunday will just be Robert Kubica’s nineteenth Grand Prix start and that he is still familiarising himself with the job of being an F1 driver.  However, over the course of the last six race weekends the two BMW drivers have outpaced each other in Free Practice 1 three times apiece.  This strong performance from the youngster may be attributed in part to his return to more familiar circuits that he encountered at the end of last season.

Bwin as usual have their prices out early and pleasingly they make Robert Kubica the 6/5 outsider against his teammate to set the fastest time in Free Practice 1. That is big enough to interest me.

Written by f1punter

September 10, 2007 at 6:23 pm

Kubica Groupie

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BetterBet are offering a couple of group betting markets, which I often find can add interest to the intriguing midfield battles. Of the two, the group that interests me most is priced up as follows:

15/8 – Kubica
11/4 – Fisichella
11/4 – Trulli
11/4 – Kovalainen

It is no surprise to see the BMW driver favourite, but perhaps a little to see him as large as 15/8. His qualifying time today was over half-a-second quicker than anyone else in the group and in two out of the three practice sessions he has shown them all a clean set of heels. Interestingly, this gang-of-four finished line astern last time out in Bahrain; Kubica though was over 35 seconds ahead of the other three, whilst some distance down the road Fisichella, Trulli and Kovalainen were separated by just 8 seconds. He looks a class apart to me.

At 15/8 you are always wary of any failure to complete the race, however I have often taken shorter prices in the past about race winners and they have had 21 rivals to beat!

Written by f1punter

May 12, 2007 at 11:24 pm