Formula 1: Against The Odds

Archive for the ‘Monaco GP’ Category

Alonso Gamble In Monte Carlo

with 5 comments

MonacoThe starting point for any Monaco GP betting is the Safety Car. Not only its appearance, but the influence that it will have on the race. One common mistake that people make is assuming that the Safety Car is omnipresent at Monaco. In fact it has only been deployed seven times in the last twelve years and in just five of those twelve races. Continue reading…


Written by f1punter

May 16, 2010 at 11:10 am

Young Guns at Monaco

with 5 comments

I think that there is a very real possibility that Sebastian Vettel will win the Monaco Grand Prix. The Red Bull looks to be the most mechanically proficient car this season and this weekend, for the first time, Adrian Newey has bolted on a double-decker diffuser. Continue reading…

Written by f1punter

May 20, 2009 at 8:02 pm

Fastest Lap: Buy The Field!

leave a comment »

Sporting Index has an interesting approach to the Fastest Lap market. Rather than produce a quote for every driver, they price up the main protagonists [in their opinion] and then group the remaining thirteen drivers as ‘the field’. Continue reading…

Written by f1punter

May 24, 2008 at 8:36 pm

Monaco Grand Prix Data Sheet

leave a comment »

pdf-icon.jpg Here is the data sheet for this weekend’s Monaco Grand Prix. It makes interesting reading and perhaps dispels some of the myths about the circuit. If you find anything useful then please post it up in the comments.

Title: Monaco Grand Prix Data Sheet | Format: PDF | Filesize: 87.1kb

Written by f1punter

May 22, 2008 at 10:22 pm

Early Price Alert: Monaco

leave a comment »

Not too much detail at this stage, but a couple of prices that I think are worth taking in advance of the Monaco race weekend are:

Lewis Hamilton Race Winner @ 16/5 (4.20) with BWin
Lewis Hamilton to beat Felipe Massa @ 6/5 (2.20) with BWin
Continue reading…

Written by f1punter

May 15, 2008 at 5:45 pm

Monaco Madness

leave a comment »

Not a great deal stands out for me this weekend with the bookmakers seemingly wise to my usual play. I had been hoping that as the event neared a standout price for the Safety Car to be deployed would materialise.  We have seen the Mercedes road car in each of the last four seasons take to the streets of the principality during the race and it would be no surprise to see it do so again.

A 22 car field, plenty of rookies (with even the best proving they are not infallible already this weekend) and next to no run off areas would seem like the perfect recipe for some blocked track carnage; but with odds generally no better than 4/11, I am happy to keep my powder dry.  Especially as prior to this four-year run there was a sustained – and surprising – period of inactivity for the safety car driver.  Bwin’s ‘How many times will we see the Safety Car’ markets do not make much appeal either.

Anybody who does want to take the plunge will probably struggle to beat the price at SkyBet, though personally I will be waiting for Montreal where I expect there to be much better value on offer.

Written by f1punter

May 25, 2007 at 5:34 pm

Monaco: Early Thoughts

leave a comment »

Add another feather in the cap of Bwin as they are first out with prices for the Monaco Grand Prix. Even more impressively they have already priced up 52 markets across qualifying and the race. Their odds for the race winner are as follows:

11/5 Fernando Alonso
12/5 Felipe Massa
14/5 Kimi Raikkonen
4/1 Lewis Hamilton

Not that I would necessarily advise taking those prices at this stage. The outright market is so competitive I would expect some bigger quotes to be available on the exchanges before race day. They are useful for predicting how the market will form though.

One price that I am not expecting to get much bigger is that of Lewis Hamilton. I can see him being the focus of much of the press coverage in the build up to the Monte Carlo race. As the feat of him leading the World Championship in his rookie season begins to sink in, attention will turn to his goals for Monaco and also his record there.

A quick look through his racing history and I have found three occasions when he has competed at Monaco; twice in the F3 Euroseries (same weekend) and once in GP2. These forays have resulted in two pole positions and three victories. I expect it to be the unbeaten factor that the press and the public latch on to.

Lewis himself seems fairly confident. When asked in the Spanish GP Post Race Press Conference how he would prepare for the lottery of Monaco, the Brit replied:

I don’t see it as a lottery. Monaco has always been a very strong race for me and I was saying to Felipe that one day we will get you and you never know whether it’s that one or… …but I think we’ll be very strong in Monaco, so I’m looking forward to it. Again, that’s one where we’re going to be pushing hard to get as many points as we can but for sure, I’m going to be going in for a win.

Of course talk by the media or the man himself is one thing, winning around Monaco is quite another. Whilst lottery is perhaps stretching it, there is little doubt that it is one of the most unpredictable races on the calendar.

Has anyone else got any early thoughts about the race?

Written by f1punter

May 14, 2007 at 10:15 pm