Formula 1: Against The Odds

British Bits And Bobs

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SiverstoneWith this weekend’s race looking like little more than a battle between the Red Bulls, I’ve been ploughing through the statistics to see if there is anything that stands out.

Safety Car

Whilst the wide-open spaces of an airfield, might not seem to offer the risk of collisions leaving debris on the racing line, historically the driver of the Safety Car has been far from redundant at the Northamptonshire venue. Five out of the last ten races here have seen the Safety Car deployed, with it making two appearances in the dry race of 2003.

The new layout with an additional long straight followed by the tight entry into Brooklands, will give another situation on the track where there will be large closing speeds. As we have seen in practice and qualifying, there is a huge spread in terms of pace between the frontrunners and the back-markers.

Seeing the Safety Car on Sunday is far from certain, but the 6/4 about its deployment on offer at Sky Bet looks just a little on the large side to leave alone completely.

Winning Margin

Not a market that I usually get heavily involved in, but it is worth noting when something stands out. The average winning margin at Silverstone in the last ten years is 15.99 seconds. Even discounting Lewis Hamilton’s runaway victory in 2008 only sees that average drop to 10.15 seconds. SkyBet (again) are offering 8/11 that the winning margin will be greater than six seconds. That looks fair.

Fastest Lap

Surely a competition between the Red Bulls, but this season it has been Webber – not pole-sitter Vettel – who has been getting the job done; outpacing the young German in six out of the nine races. The 4/1 that was on offer before Friday practice is long gone, but definitely one to keep an eye on in the Betfair market.

Image reproduced courtesy of junafani.


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