F1Punter

Formula 1: Against The Odds

Archive for the ‘Fernando Alonso’ Category

Red Bull Return In Qualifying

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Red BullsSaturdays in 2010 have been all about one team. Although Lewis Hamilton may have taken pole position last time out in Canada, Mark Webber and Sebastian Vettel still managed second and third on the grid, despite opting to qualify on the harder compound tyre. For me, that is hardly a crashing fall from the the form that has seen them dominate Q3 so far this season; taking all of the previous seven pole positions. Continue reading…

On The Button In Turkey

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ButtonIt has been a testing week. I entered it knowing exactly how I wanted to play things, by backing Massa to outpoint Alonso before the media previews drew attention to his record around the Turkish circuit. Unfortunately with so few firms pricing up the head-to-heads early and so little liquidity on Betfair, by Thursday I had decided to cancel my unmatched bets and sit things out until the race. Alonso failing to make Q2 – a surprise to me – Continue reading…

Alonso Gamble In Monte Carlo

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MonacoThe starting point for any Monaco GP betting is the Safety Car. Not only its appearance, but the influence that it will have on the race. One common mistake that people make is assuming that the Safety Car is omnipresent at Monaco. In fact it has only been deployed seven times in the last twelve years and in just five of those twelve races. Continue reading…

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May 16, 2010 at 11:10 am

First Lap Carnage in Catalunya

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Circuit de CatalunyaThe old adage states that you can’t win the race at the first corner, but you can lose it. With the prospect of a processional race ahead of them, I just wonder how many drivers will remember this tomorrow. We are reaching that point where establishing supremacy both within your team and with your rivals can set the tone for the rest of season. Will some drivers think that it is time to gamble? Continue reading…

Pre-season Testing: Winners and Losers

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The old adage states that analysis of lap times from pre-season is meaningless; set on unknown levels of fuel, without scrutineering and in the pursuit of unclear objectives. Yet despite this, it is only natural that we try to rationalise what we see happening. The internet has been buzzing for the last few weeks with coverage and discussion about individual driver and team’s performances at the three Spanish facilities Continue reading…

Back To The Future In Brazil

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I’ve been scanning through the prices for this weekend in the hope that something leaps off the page. Unfortunately, Brazil doesn’t seem to be a circuit where opportunities are immediately apparent. This caused me to go back and have a look to see if there was anything that was spotted last year that may still be valid. Continue reading…

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October 15, 2009 at 10:24 pm

Finger on the Button at Monza

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Kimi Raikkonen’s use of his Kinetic Energy Recovery System – or KERS as it is widely known – was largely responsible for us turning a healthy profit at the last round of the World Championship in Belgium. It looks like the device again has a role to play this weekend, particularly in qualifying. Continue reading…

Podium Punts for Unpredictable Spa

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An extremely interesting qualifying session has blown the markets wide open for tomorrow’s race. I’m writing this before the fuel weights are out, but I’m already pretty pleased with my Raikkonen bet. If he can gain a couple of places in the opening laps – utilising his KERS – then I think that he is well placed for a podium finish (unexpected Spa Francochamps occurrences withstanding). Continue reading…

Silverstone Sunday Summary

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I’ve been doing a bit of analysis on Qualifying runs and declared fuel – using La Canta Magnifico’s Fuel Fing – in an effort to forecast pit-stop schedules. Here’s the output: Continue reading…

Istanbulls

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At the risk of following them over a cliff (in which case I would need wings), I’m having another dash at the Red Bulls this weekend. Continue reading…